Can the Giants continue they’re recent winning ways vs. an Eagles team that has gone from Super to stupor? There’s a good chance. There’s also a good chance the Patriots, with the return of Rob Gonkowski, take out their frustrations after their bad loss vs. the Titans on the Jets. Here’s you Week 12 Bettors’ Guide.
GIANTS at EAGLES
1 p.m., Eagles by 6, 45½
HANK’S HONEYS: Giants fans need to pump the brakes after two straight narrow wins over terrible teams. But at least the Big Blue offense has been producing now that the O-line is doing a better job of protecting Eli Manning and creating holes for Saquon Barkley. The Eagles, meanwhile, look as though they’re stuck in the doldrums of a Super Bowl hangover, something Giants fans are quite familiar with. The Giants are tied with the league’s third-best ATS road at 4-1 and have lost only one of those games (Cowboys) by as many as seven points. The Eagles, meanwhile, are 1-4 ATS at home. Might as well take the points if you’re betting this one.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Giants and the under
PATRIOTS at JETS
1 p.m., Pats by 9½, 47½
HANK’S HONEYS: Bill Belichick and Tom Brady are looking for a bounceback game after the Pats’ pre-bye disaster in Tennessee, and what better team to play than the sputtering Jets? Historically, the Jets have been strong against the spread when hosting the Patriots (7-4 in last 11) but that’s cancelled out by NE’s 9-1 ATS mark in its last 10 games following a loss and that Belichick has had a bye week. Besides, this is a terrible matchup for the Jets. Three-and-outs lead to short fields and no one is better at using them than the Pats. With Rob Gronkowski back at TE and leading rusher Sony Michel in the backfield, Brady will have a full array of weapons. The Pats are 6-0 in games where Michel has rushed for more than 90 yards.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Patriots and the under
SEAHAWKS at PANTHERS
1 p.m., Panthers by 3½, 45
HANK’S HONEYS: After two mind-boggling (for different reasons) road losses, the Panthers are desperate for some home cooking again. They haven’t lost in 10 home games and have averaged 32.6 points over their last five. Seattle, though, is a reliable and 2-2-1 ATS as a road dog. The Seahawks’ ability to run the ball and stop the run helps keep them close in most games and that is critical in any game against Christian McCaffrey while Russell Wilson is benefiting more and more from his ground game. That extra half-point over the field goal could loom large in what should be a tight back and forth game.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the under
RAIDERS at RAVENS
1 p.m., Ravens by 11, 42½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Ravens’ QB situation is up in the air and in either case, they’re going to play this conservatively, increasing the Raiders’ odds of keeping it close. It’s also a prime letdown spot for the Ravens after a huge divisional victory against the Bengals. Oakland is a mess, granted, but this seems too high of a number, even for a bad Raiders team travelling across the country. Take the Ravens, if you must, but go confidently under the total.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Raiders and the under
49ERS at BUCS
1 p.m., Bucs by 3½, 52½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Giants’ last two victims meet with the Niners going coast to coast for an early start. It’s also a matchup of the teams with the two worst turnover ratios in the league. That makes picking this one risky. Ryan Fitzpatrick finally turned into a pumpkin and Jameis Winston is back under center to see if he can throw fewer INTs than the magic man. If he can, the Bucs offense is prolific, even without injured TE O.J. Howard, and with the 49ers’ issues covering wideouts, Tampa Bay should light up the scoreboard. Meanwhile, the Bucs’ rubbery defense will have its hands full containing Matt Brieda. Go over and flip a coin.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the over
STEELERS at BRONCOS
4:25 p.m., Steelers by 3, 47½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Steelers’ last second win in Jacksonville has to keep up the momentum of their current six-game winning streak. The Steelers didn’t play well at all but got away with one and that’s why we expect them to get back to business in Denver, especially with some mismatches in the Broncos’ secondary producing poor third-down conversion rates. Case Keenum has turned the ball over a lot this year and the Steelers have a big-play defense. Mile High hasn’t been historically kind to the Steelers but they are an amazing 15-1-1 SU in their last 17 road games.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Steelers and the under
DOLPHINS at COLTS
4:05 p.m., Colts by 9, 51½
HANK’S HONEY’S: It’s a big number for two teams with similar records but Indy is on a roll and the Dolphins are not. Miami’s offense has been dreadful away from home, where the Fish are 1-4 ATS this season, covering only against the Jets, and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 on the road. The Dolphins should get a boost with the return of Ryan Tannehill but, with all the injuries, he doesn’t have enough around him to keep up with Indy’s resurgent attack. We love what Frank Reich is doing with Indy’s offensive schemes and so does Andrew Luck, who is healthy and playing at an elite level again. The young Colts are really rallying around Luck and have the look of a playoff team. The Dolphins don’t. Colts will win this going away.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Colts and the under
CARDS at CHARGERS
4:05 p.m., Chargers by 11½, 44
HANK’S HONEYS: The offensively-challenged Cardinals are picking the wrong week to visit the Chargers. Last week’s loss to the Broncos should be just a speed bump for Philip Rivers and company. Rivers is having a career year and he should attack this defense with a vengeance after last week. Arizona owns the NFL’s worst statistical offense and while Josh Rosen has shown signs of becoming a good quarterback, he still makes too many mistakes (10 INTs leading to a 68.5 QB rating) out of a lack of support. With Joey Bosa bearing down on him in his second full game back, the Chargers will turn those mistakes into enough points to win this one comfortably.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chargers and the under
PACKERS at VIKINGS
8:20 p.m., Vikings by 3½, 49½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Packers can’t run the ball and the Vikings are hardly ever run on. That puts the game into the hands of Aaron Rodgers, which doesn’t sound like a bad thing. Yet even with Aaron Rodgers at QB, the Packers are averaging just 24 ppg. That’s not going to be enough in this one. The Vikings offense was shut down in Chicago but can be expected to bounce back indoors against a Packer secondary that will be strained by the receiving tandem of Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Looking at the uninspired Packers, it’s just another step toward the door for head coach Mike McCarthy.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Vikings and the over
TITANS at TEXANS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Texans by 6, 41½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Titans came off their blowout of the Patriots and were blown out by the Colts. QB Marcus Mariota is battling an elbow injury and is questionable. Meanwhile, the Texans are on a seven-game winning streak. So why take the Titans? It’s precisely because of their inconsistency. The team has responded well to Mike Vrabel all year and has a good enough defense to keep things close against a like-minded divisional rival. The Texans should win the game but not going away.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the under
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LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH
BROWNS at BENGALS
1 p.m., Bengals by 3, 48
HANK’S HONEYS: With A.J. Green’s status up in the air, there is no clear cut pick in this one. Green’s absence with a toe injury has taken the steam out of what was an explosive Cincinnati attack and the Bengals’ defense just isn’t good enough to compensate. Baker Mayfield is coming off his best game but the Browns have been as inconsistent as they come. Deposed Browns coach Hue Jackson will help with the scouting report now that he’s in Cincy, but there is plenty of motivation for Browns players going in. One thing is sure. It’s a must-win game for the Bengals’ playoff hopes and they generally play well against teams with losing records. That includes a six-game SU winning streak against the Browns.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF?: Bengals and the over
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BEST OF THE REST:
JAGUARS at BILLS
1 p.m., Jags by 3, 37
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bills and the under
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Patriots. The Jets are dead.
Last week: 7-6.