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New York Yankees 2020 betting preview: Best futures odds and season projections

2020-07-25

New York Yankees Best 2020 Futures Odds

World Series: +400 (FanDuel & DraftKings)

AL Pennant: +175 (FanDuel & DraftKings)

AL East: -278 (PointsBet)

Win Total: 37 (o-115) (PointsBet)

Make Playoffs: -670 (DraftKings)

Looking to bet the Yankees on Opening Day? PointsBet is improving their odds for every 100 bets placed on the Yanks, meaning you could end up getting them at significant plus-money! They’ve already moved from -140 to +100, and your bet will automatically be graded at the final price.

At +175, the Yankees are the favorites to represent the American League in the World Series, and those odds imply a 36.4% chance that they’ll do so. Their +400 odds to win the World Series are also right on the heels of the Dodgers, who are favored at around +375.

As you’d expect, the Yanks are considerable favorites in the AL East (-278) — trailed most closely by the Rays at +300 — and are tied with the Dodgers for the highest win total in baseball (though the Dodgers’ -110 juice gives them a slight edge).

And if you’re looking to bet the Yankees to reach the playoffs, don’t expect a very big payout. A $100 bet would return just $14.90, and the implied probability of the Yankees making the postseason sits at 87%.

New York Yankees 2020 Projections

New York Yankees 2020 Betting Analysis

Taken from Sean Zerillo’s 2020 Win Totals, World Series & Division Odds Projections:

The Yankees’ divisional (-23%) and World Series (-10.6%) chances dropped more than any team in the American League in my projections as a result of a shortened season. ZIPS penalized their championship odds by 9.5%, and their playoff chances by an MLB-high 31.2%.

Although the Rays’ divisional chances have improved dramatically due to the increased level of variance that comes with a 60-game schedule, the Yankees had a significant number of injuries in spring training and have recovered over the past four months where the Rays are built on depth and initially seemed likely to grind down the Yankees over a long summer.

The Yankees’ 26-man roster is superior, however, and they can deploy their high-caliber bullpen arms much more efficiently over two months than six.

2020 New York Yankees Player Futures Odds

All odds as of July 19.

To win AL MVP

To win AL Cy Young

2020 New York Yankees Player Futures Analysis

Taken from Sean Zerillo’s Longshots and Sleepers to Bet for the 2020 Season:

Giancarlo Stanton to be home-run leader

I managed to lock in another half-unit share on Giancarlo Stanton at +2000 — he was banged up during spring training but should be healthy after the late start, and I like his chances to stay healthy over the shortened eight-week schedule.

Updated Steamer projections have Stanton tied atop the league with Mike Trout and Pete Alonso with 16 home runs apiece, just ahead of Cody Bellinger, Joey Gallo and Bryce Harper (15).

Stanton’s anticipated rate of one home run per 12.5 plate appearances easily paces the group — Gallo is the next closest at 14.1, and Steamer has Stanton doing all of his damage in just 46 games — projected to play seven fewer games, on average, compared to the other five players. I made his preseason odds +1250 for a 162-game season.

Recommended 2020 New York Yankees Future Bets

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