The PGA TOUR heads to the Land of 10,000 Lakes this week for the second edition of the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. It is just the second tournament during the Return to Golf that has remained in its original spot on the calendar.
We’ve been spoiled by some of the star-studded fields over the past two months and we’re a week out from a WGC and two weeks out from the PGA Championship, so it’s no surprise that entry list for the 3M is missing some of the game’s heavyweights. The lack of star-power has given this week’s odds a very different look.
There’s nothing too unsettling about the top of the board, but things get really funky pretty quickly after the favorites.
Dustin Johnson has opened as the sole favorite at +1200 ($10 bet wins $120). It may be a little strange to see DJ as the sole favorite considering he just missed the cut with a 16-over performance at Memorial, but Johnson’s previous outing was a victory at The Travelers and he’s been in good form during the Return to Golf, so it’s not surprising to see bookmakers install him as the one to beat at TPC Twin Cities.
Tony Finau and Brooks Koepka are next up at +1400. Finau was the first-round leader and held a three-stroke lead on Saturday at Memorial, but he (along with everybody else) struggled over the weekend and finished in eighth.
Koepka was able to make the cut at Muirfield Village but never really got going and finished T62 at 12-over for the tournament.
Perhaps the most intriguing name on this part of the board is Tommy Fleetwood, who is making his Return to Golf debut at the 3M. Most golf fans expected Fleetwood to hang in England this week for the British Masters, but with a WGC and the PGA Championship looming, Fleetwood made the decision to get some reps in stateside. The Merseysider has opened at +1800 along with his countryman, Paul Casey.
And here’s where things begin to get really funky. Lucas Glover has been in terrific form since the TOUR resumed play, but it will take some getting used to see him with the sixth-highest odds (along with Bubba Watson) for PGA TOUR event. Glover and Watson are currently at +2500 and the only golfers listed between 20-1 and 30-1 at DraftKings.
Defending champion Matthew Wolff is next in line at +3300 and will be looking to follow up his dramatic walk-off-eagle from 2019. Harris English and Russell Henley are right behind Wolff at +3500 and are the only other golfers listed below 40-1.
The mid tier is littered with players who, in deeper fields, are usually tagged with triple-digit odds. Luke List, fresh off a surprising top 10 at Memorial, has seen his odds slashed dramatically, going from +25000 last week all the way down to +4000 this week.
Former University of Minnesota Golden Gopher Erik van Rooyen could be a popular play in this range at +5000 given his connection to the area and a T22 finish at Memorial. Sam Burns didn’t play at Jack’s Place last week, but the LSU product has strung together three top-30 finishes on the spin, so he’s also one to watch out for at +5000.
A few weeks ago, Doc Redman was attracting plenty of betting support on the heels of a couple of noteworthy performances at The RBC Heritage and Travelers, but betting is a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately endeavor, so Redman may slip through the cracks a bit at the 3M Open. He’s listed at +5500 with Brian Harman and Ryan Moore.
Henrik Norlander is certainly worth keeping an eye on at +6600. Fresh off a T6 at Memorial, Norlander’s ball-striking numbers have been impressive over the past two events. Casual bettors may not be all that familiar with Norlander, but I’d expect him to be a trendy pick within the betting industry.
Erik Van Rooyen+4000
Si Woo Kim+6000
Rafael Cabrera Bello+7000
Charles Howell III+9000
Andrew D. Putnam+20000
J. J. Spaun+25000
Ted Potter Jr+30000
Bo Van Pelt+50000
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